Hola amigos! Whether you like to DX small tropical band stations or
listen to the larger broadcasters, Peru should provide something
interesting in the next month as a very unusual presidential campaign
there heads towards a climax in the April 9th elections. The roots to
this election go back to 1990, when just weeks before the election
well-known Peruvian writer Mario Vargas Llosa, running under a
conservative coalition ticket, was the hands-on favorite to win. No
one else was even close. (Vargas is the author of the Peruvian radio
novel Aunt Julia and the Scriptwriter.) Then out of nowhere,
came the independent candidacy of Alberto Fujimori, a university
professor of Japanese descent. Two months before the election, few
besides Fujimori's students and neighbors would have known who he was.
But, in the April election, Fujimori came in a strong second and
denied Vargas the necessary 50% for an outright victory, forcing a
June run-off. The Fujimori tidal wave continued, and he won the run-
off with 56% of the vote.
Vargas' solution for Peru's economic troubles had been some serious
conservative fiscal medicine and Fujimori won by campaigning against
this. But upon taking office, he proposed the exact same measures that
Vargas had endorsed. As everyone feared, the economy was thrown into a
real roller-coaster, but Fujimori gained some key support. As Fujimori
was not associated with any political party, however, he had little
support in congress and trouble making all his proposals a reality. He
also made enemies by going after corrupt politicians, including his
predecessor Alan Garcia, who was found to have embezzled millions of
dollars while in office.
Citing on-going economic troubles, political corruption, and the
guerrilla war as reasons, in April, 1992, Fujimori dissolved congress,
suspended the constitution, and imposed censorship. He became a sort
of elected dictator in the eyes of many, including foreign governments
who began to shun Peru. Yet, the economic measures he pushed through
began to work. Meanwhile, he gave the army a free hand in dealing with
the guerrillas. It was brutal, but they were winning. The capture of
the Sendero's main leader in a Lima safehouse helped fragment the
guerrillas, who were soon defecting by the hundreds.
Today, the guerrillas have all but been defeated and Peru has the
fastest growing, most dynamic economy in Latin America, perhaps the
world. Inflation was down to eighteen percent last year, and should be
under twelve this year. But, while upper-class areas of Lima and other
cities are thriving, most of the "Peruvian Miracle" has not
filtered down. At ten percent, unemployment is higher than when
Fujimori took office, and around 75% of Peruvians are considered to be
underemployed. Many previously middle-class people have joined the
ranks of the poor. Extreme poverty has risen from 20% to at least 30%.
Yet, ever since Fujimori dissolved congress and took on the big
problems, he has enjoyed solid political support of over half the
population, sometimes much more.
Is Fujimori a dictator? Some say he is, but obviously many Peruvians
don't care. After dissolving congress, Fujimori called elections for a
national assembly to write a new constitution. Then, elections were
held for the public to ratify the new constitution. Other elections
were held for municipal offices across the country. In not one of
these three elections were there any serious allegations of tampering
and Fujimori's forces won in each one.
Now, Fujimori himself is running for reelection. The old constitution
forbade presidents being reelected, but the new one dropped that
provision. Fifteen candidates are running against him, the main ones
being former UN Secretary-General Javier Perez de Cuellar and
Alejandro Toledo, a Lima economist who, like Fujimori five years ago,
came out of nowhere onto the political scene last fall. However, Perez
de Cuellar has trouble cracking 20 or 25 percent in the polls, and
Toledo hovers around ten percent, while Fujimori consistently polls
well over the fifty percent he needs for a first-round victory. Both
Perez de Cuellar and Toledo are running as independents, as are a few
minor candidates. For all purposes, it is an election without
political parties, at least at the presidential level!
Did Fujimori have ESP, some wondered? But Higuchi's supporters
countered that if she divorces him she is no longer a relative and
gathered the necessary signatures to put her on the ballot. But then
something strange happened. The night before the deadline when they
were to present their petitions to the National Election Board, there
was an unexplained blackout only on the one block where Higuchi's
headquarters was. And somehow all the necessary accompanying
documentation and records on their computer system got erased. Sorry,
no extension, the Election Board said, quashing any possibility of a
husband-wife showdown for president. Since then, however, Higuchi's
supporters have formed an alliance with a federation of retired
military and police and she is running for congress - although the
issue of whether or not she can legally do this as a presidential
relative was still undetermined the last I heard.
So what does this mean for the listener? Certainly there should be
some good analysis on the major broadcasters on the days leading up to
and following the election. And, if you tune in to Peru's tropical
band stations, expect to hear lots of lengthy impassioned speeches in
the evenings for the next month, and strings of political ads at all
times of day. Speeches will generally be live, with crowd noise,
clapping, etc, in the background. So far this has been a very cut-
throat election, and all signs are that that won't change. In fact, in
early December when a civic organization attempted to get the
candidates to sign an "Honor Pact" to campaign cleanly and
without violence and to not bring in other candidates' personal lives,
only six candidates would agree to sign it, with Alejandro Toledo the
only one of the big three. Fujimori is very opportunistic, so who
knows what he may do. Some have even accused him of intentionally
starting the current border conflict with Ecuador as a way to gather
more political support under a patriotic banner.
Unfortunately, politicians don't tend to give station identifications
during their speeches, however, so IDing who you are hearing may be
more difficult! One station you won't hear any election coverage from,
however, is Radio Nacional. The election board has forbidden the
government radio and TV station from airing anything that might be
construed as support for any candidate. So amigos, go after some
Peruvian DX in the next month to feel the atmosphere of presidential
politics, Peruvian style. Hasta luego, Don.
This article is copyright 1995 by Don Moore.
This website is maintained by Don Moore,
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A DXer Looks at Alberto Fujimori
By Don Moore
A Tough Job
Being president of Peru was certainly going to be a lot more demanding
than giving lectures and grading papers. The economy had shrunk by
about a fifth in the previous two years and prices had increased by
20,000 percent in the previous five. Unemployment and underemployment,
always a problem in Latin America, were especially high. Corruption
was rampant. And the Maoist Shining Path Guerrilla movement and the
smaller Tupac Amaru movement were operating in almost all parts of the
country, including Lima itself. A Marital Spat
Several months ago, the election turned into a real soap opera, when
Fujimori's wife, Susana Higuchi, decided to divorce her husband and
denounced him for his high-handed politics. At one point, Fujimori and
the children (who remained loyal to their father) were living in the
Ministry of Defense building while Higuchi was still in the
Presidential Palace because guards, apparently under orders, wouldn't
let her leave. The real bombshell came when Higuchi announced that she
was planning to run against her husband for president. Polls gave her
little support, and Fujimori's government pointed out that the new
constitution included a clause prohibiting relatives of the president
from running for office.
1996 Addendum: Alberto Fujimori won the April, 1995 election
with well over fifty percent of the vote, thus avoiding a runoff
election.
Association of North American Radio Clubs
DXer of the Year for 1995.